The Tests for Agrument to Be Good

On May 29, 2009, my friends Alex and Reylan were engaged.
On July 10, 2010, Alex and Reylan were married.
Alex and Reylan will celebrate their 1st wedding anniversary on July 10, 2011.

The Tests for an Argument to Be Good
Test 1: The premises are plausible.
The first premise is true because it is based on a historical event and can be verified. It is a statement of fact and is plausible.

Test 2: The premises are more plausible than the conclusion.
The second premise is also based on a statement of fact. This statement can be validated with documentation to support credibility. There would be little reason to doubt plausibility, but researching any historical event can confirm credibility.

Test 3: The argument is valid or strong.
The argument may be considered valid, based on the calculated date and the likelihood of the couple celebrating their anniversary within the next year. An argument is considered valid if there is no possible way for its premises to be true and its conclusion false, at the same time (Epstein 39). In this case however, it is more likely to assume that the conclusion is false, therefore making the argument strong. The reason being, that there may be unforeseen circumstances which may prevent the couple from celebrating their anniversary. Strong arguments follow the criteria that the premises need to be true, but the conclusion can be false. A good argument should convince us to accept the conclusion without reservation. Evaluating the premises for credibility and studying the argument with a critical eye are essential.